Athens2006 Course
1. Brief
2. Methods
3. Principles
4. Intelligence
5. Modelling
6. Geospatial
7. Satellite
8. Economics
9. Data stack
10. Spills
11. Integration
12. Prospect
13. Development
14. Future
4. Intelligence on the Net - Essochad

 Intelligence on the Net - The EssoChad project
T. Rousselin – ENSMP – GEO212 - France
J-M. Monget -
ENSMP - CG, Sophia Antipolis - France

Topics :


Chad-Cameroon oil development project

 

 

 1 - Data search and intelligence

    • Any relevant source is interesting
    • The more sources you have, the best cross-check you perform

 2 - The intelligence cycle

 3 - Using Internet

    Various types of data :

    • Texts
    • Images
    • Maps
    • Thematic servers
    • On-line libraries
    • Intranet and local resources : libraries…
    • Knowledge gathering on models availability and case histories

 4 - The technical and financial complexity of the Doba-EssoChad project

    • The benefitors : …..
    • The lenders : ……
    • The contractors : ……
    • The end-clients : ….
    • The public opinion : Medias and NGOs

  5 - Knowledge gathering on the project parameters

    Porosity (or porosities) in %

    Total reserve of Doba field in barrels (projected)
    Peak daily production in barrels (goal)
    Overall project life in years
    Number of exploration wells
    Number of development wells
    Number of production wells

    Temperature of oil in pipeline in °C
    Length of pipeline in km
    Max capacity of pipeline (barrels/day)

    Total project cost in dollars
    Cost of pipeline in dollars
    Amount of annual revenues for Chad in dollars
    Amount of total revenues for Chad in dollars
     

 6 - Main milestones of the project (1/2)

    Sponsors

    • Nov 1999 – Elf and Shell pull out of initial project
    • Feb 2000 – Consortium is back on track : Exxon, Chevron et Petronas

    Lenders

    • June 2000 – World Bank gives ok to lending and US follows
    • Dec 2003 : First « petroleum money » used for development projects under WB sponsorship
    • Jan 2006 : WB blocks the Citybank account due to the new chadian petroleum law

    Benefitors

    • Dec 1998 : Chad signs its petroleum law
    • Aug 2003 : The Doba Kribi pipeline is officially operational
    • Dec 2005 : The chadian parliament modifies the petroleum law

 7 - Main milestones of the project (2/2)

    World petroleum « climate »

    • Oil barrel prices go up and down and upper again !
    • Cameroon is unable to complete bid « round » on Logone-Birni
    • « Permit H » sold by one player to another
    • Taiwan, China and Dubai act more agressively in the area

    Local politics and governance

    • Northern Chad rebellion & massacres around Doba
    • Anti-corruption plan in Cameroon
    • Darfour crisis and its implications on local chadian politics
    • Rebellion in Deby's clan and trouble on the Eastern border
    • Clash with World Bank & Exxon

    Environmental consciousness

    • The "Erika" accident
    • First « CO2 » swap bonds sold by Costa-Rica to Norway

 8 - Guidelines to intelligence

    • Use the simplest tools because they are faster : time is critical on the Internet
    • Be prepared for the fractal nature of information search on the Internet
    • Collaborate with colleagues either by meeting or by e-mail : experience on the Internet is still dispersed
    • Cross-check all informations
    • Read also books

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Geointelligence - ATHENS Course 2006 - NTNU/ENSMP - Contact web master - Last update : 6 March 2006